ECB’s Potential Rate Cut in April: Olli Rehn’s Perspective

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Olli Rehn, a member of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council and the Governor of the Bank of Finland, has indicated that the European Central Bank (ECB) might consider a reduction in interest rates come April. This decision hinges on whether inflation continues to align with current projections. According to Rehn, if economic indicators validate the ECB’s baseline scenario, a rate cut in April would be a strategic move to maintain the symmetric inflation target of 2% over the medium term. “If the data confirm the baseline and show that the right response in monetary policy should be to cut in April to achieve our symmetric inflation target of 2% over the medium term, then we should indeed do so. But if the data point to something else, then we would pause,” Rehn explained.

Recently released data corroborate expectations, showing a deceleration in inflation last month. This was largely attributed to a significant slowdown in price growth within the services sector, leading to a reduction in headline price growth as anticipated. The ECB’s decision will thus be closely tied to upcoming economic data and its implications for price stability.